Denver vs. Dallas,
03/11/2020 20:00 EDT,
Score: 97 - 113
Point Spread: -1/-105 Dallas
The Mavs played last night in San Antonio and suffered a loss to their instate rivals. Now they come home and despite of playing on back to back nights have what Im betting is an edge, against what has become a inconsistent Denver side. that has alternated wins and losses since late Feb . Last time out the Nuggets beat a short handed Bucks side, without their key star Antetokounmpo out of the lineup and now I expect some emotional regression here after being sky high for that tilt ,which makes them vulnerable to a down effort. Note: The Nuggets have lost 3 of their L/4 road tilts.
Dallas duo of Doncic and Dorian Finney-Smith are both officially available to play on Tuesday.
The Mavericks are 15-1-1 ATS/16-1 SU L/17 as a favorite with less than two days rest off a road game after a game that was tied 5+ times.
The Mavericks are 11-0 ATS /SU L/11 when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.
The Nuggets are 0-16 ATS/2-14 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range.The Nuggets are 2-21 ATS/3-20 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win.The Nuggets are 1-17 ATS /2-16 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win as a home favoriteThe Nuggets are 0-12 ATS /1-11 SU on the road with rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.
Play on Dallas to cover