Oregon vs. Colorado,
01/02/2020 21:00 EDT,
Score: 65 - 74
Point Spread: +1½/-105 Colorado
This will be the Oregon Ducks’ first test at altitude this season where the thin air can really slow down teams not accustomed to dealing with it. Oregon has never won in Boulder and despite of being a top tier team nationally this season, will have their hands full trying to deal with this Rocky Mountain environment . Tonight Im betting the Boulder shutout continues for the travelling Ducks vs a Colorado side that returned every key member of last season’s 23-13 squad this season. The key difference between the Buffs and the Ducks, is home teams ability to play solid consistent D, as is evident by ranking 18th in KenPom’s metrics in the nation while limiting opponents to below 40% from the field and rank 23rd in points allowed. Oregon rank 63rd in defensive efficiency at KenPom. Altitude + Home court Advantage + Defence = Colorado Edge .
COLORADO is 11-3 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OREGON) - after a blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games are 13-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Colorado to cover