Chicago vs. Sacramento,
12/02/2019 22:00 EDT,
Score: 113 - 106
Total: -109/+211 Over
Sacramento plays at the 30th ranked pace in the league and 28th in ppg production but Im betting they pickup the pace tonight against a weak defensive side that allows an average of 110.1 ppg on the road this season. Also when Chicago has Zach Lavine on the court and healthy they seem to push the tempo more and that is what I expect tonight in a tilt that eclipses this total.
SACRAMENTO in their L/30 as a favorite over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 223.9 ppg go on the board.
Over is 16-5 in Bulls last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SACRAMENTO) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) are 32-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the OVER