Toronto vs. Columbus, 10/04/2019 19:00 EDT, Score: 4 - 1

Point Spread: -1½/+170 Toronto

Sportsbook: Betonline

Result: Win

Maple Leafs -1.5

The line opened with the Leafs a -145 favorite, it is now hovering around -155 to -160. Until Columbus can show me that they haven't been hurt by all their loss of manpower from 2018/19 I'm going to fade them to start the season, especially against a Maple Leafs team that we all know can light that red light. In goal for the Leafs on Friday we should see Frederik Andersen who comes in with a 1-0 record and a 3.01 GAA and a .885 Save %. For Columbus we're expecting to see Joonas Korpisalo. (10-7-2 and a 2.95 GAA in 2018/19), with no Sergei Bobrovsky in net anymore for Columbus there should be an adjustment phase in Ohio.

The Leafs come into this matchup loaded up front with Mikheyev, Matthews, Marner (who had a goal and five points in three games vs. Columbus in 2018-19), Barrie, Rielly, Nylander and newly minted Captain Tavares all ready to do damage. The big question for me for Columbus is can they find a replacement for Artemi Panarin in Alexandre Texier? AND can Joonas Korpisalo fill the vacancy left by Bobrovsky to start the season? I say NO!

Some trends to consider tell me that the Maple Leafs like getting out to a nice start in October as they are backed by a 8-3 SU run in their last 11 games played in October. Plus they're 20-8 in their last 28 games as a favorite of -110 to -150, and they're 21-8 in their last 29 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Columbus are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Atlantic division.

The Maple Leafs are expected to make a strong run at the Stanley Cup despite their recent playoff woes, and in my opinion not much is expected from the Blue Jackets despite some playoff success last season. We didn't learn much from the preseason with the Jackets so I have to just go with the better team, and for my money that's the Leafs on Friday night. I'm on the Leafs on the puckline.

Back the Leafs -1.5.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.


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