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(MLB) Philadelphia vs. Washington, 09/22/2020 3:05 PM, Score: 1 - 5
Money Line: -210.00 Philadelphia (Away)
Result: Loss
7* Philadelphia (3:05 ET): This is the first game of a doubleheader on Tuesday. I grabbed the Nationals +1.5 in last night’s series opener. Turns out that the run line wasn’t even necessary as the reigning WS Champs picked up their first victory of the year (in seven tries) over the Phillies (by a score of 5-1). Some context on that win needs to be shared, however. In addition to all the Phillies’ injuries I discussed in yday’s analysis, they wound up going hitless w/ RISP, committed three errors, were thrown out twice trying to steal and manager Joe Girardi was ejected!

Bryce Harper (back stiffness) did suit up for the Phils last night, though he was 0 for 4. The Phillies badly need to sweep this doubleheader today. Y’day’s loss dropped them into 8th overall in the National League, just one-half game ahead of both the Brewers & Giants for the final playoff spot. It may seem odd to back them a day after fading, but the main reason I like the Phils here in Game 1 is that they have Aaron Nola starting. He’s been the staff’s most reliable starter this season.

It’s not just that Washington is 10-27 vs. righties this season. They are 0-2 vs. Nola. Both starts saw Nola pitch at least seven innings. He allowed two runs total and the last start saw him allow zero in eight solid innings of work. Nola has the lowest WHIP (0.973) in the Phillies starting rotation. He’ll be opposed by Austin Voth, who has struggled all year long with an 0-5 record (2-7 TSR), 7.17 ERA and 1.672 WHIP. The Nats got their win yday, but are just 1-6 vs. Philly in 2020 and don’t figure to do well in this first game Tuesday. 7* Philadelphia